Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.053274 0.062377 0.072528 0.084684 0.098842 0.114810 0.134187
2025-09-07 0.039750 0.051771 0.066620 0.086294 0.111667 0.143284 0.185689
2025-09-14 0.030961 0.043769 0.060880 0.085380 0.119536 0.165459 0.231918
2025-09-21 0.024771 0.037471 0.055573 0.083202 0.124266 0.183024 0.273524
2025-09-28 0.020222 0.032442 0.050866 0.080584 0.127266 0.197748 0.312291
2025-10-05 0.017810 0.030103 0.049586 0.082589 0.137031 0.223223 0.370087
2025-10-12 0.015626 0.027707 0.047742 0.083237 0.144461 0.245666 0.425703
2025-10-19 0.013788 0.025555 0.045913 0.083506 0.151078 0.267321 0.482490
2025-10-26 0.012421 0.023996 0.044823 0.084799 0.159469 0.292773 0.548797
2025-11-02 0.011442 0.022982 0.044528 0.087412 0.170449 0.323922 0.629037
2025-11-09 0.009920 0.020689 0.041528 0.084484 0.170599 0.335171 0.673413
2025-11-16 0.008907 0.019251 0.039958 0.084078 0.175477 0.355748 0.738059
2025-11-23 0.007920 0.017742 0.038081 0.082881 0.178788 0.374008 0.801199
2025-11-30 0.007324 0.016983 0.037644 0.084627 0.188421 0.406173 0.897166
2025-12-07 0.006581 0.015782 0.036100 0.083763 0.192339 0.426921 0.971519
2025-12-14 0.005838 0.014466 0.034118 0.081632 0.193144 0.441041 1.033068
2025-12-21 0.005160 0.013201 0.032073 0.079064 0.192582 0.452015 1.088811
2025-12-28 0.004851 0.012790 0.031959 0.081032 0.202858 0.488632 1.208432
2026-01-04 0.004493 0.012200 0.031335 0.081668 0.209999 0.518796 1.316449
2026-01-11 0.004150 0.011600 0.030604 0.081931 0.216245 0.547545 1.424574
2026-01-18 0.003891 0.011184 0.030281 0.083201 0.225200 0.583940 1.556356
2026-01-25 0.003714 0.010965 0.030442 0.085765 0.237855 0.631059 1.721493
2026-02-01 0.003318 0.010071 0.028682 0.082891 0.235631 0.639870 1.787150